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Half of the gains in the stock market this year were led by the ChatGPT revolution: JPMorgan

Half of the gains in the stock market this year were led by the ChatGPT revolution: JPMorgan

Posted: Apr 25, 2023 at 4:13 a.m. ET

Artificial intelligence-driven interest in ChatGPT and other large language models has driven more than half of the gains in the S&P 500 this year, according to an analysis from JPMorgan.

The analysis found that interest in the topic created a market capitalization of $1.4 trillion and a gain of 45% year-to-date.

The analysis includes…

Artificial intelligence-driven interest in ChatGPT and other large language models has driven more than half of the gains in the S&P 500 this year, according to an analysis from JPMorgan.

The analysis found that interest in the topic created a market capitalization of $1.4 trillion and a gain of 45% year-to-date.

The analysis includes Microsoft

MSFT

And
Alphabet Alphabet

Google

And
Amazon.com

AMZN

And
Meta platforms

meta

And
nvidia

NVDA

and Salesforce.com

CRM

in what it calls “LLM-Innovative” stocks, and this combination outperforms the other five biggest stocks – Apple

AAPL

And
Tesla

TSLA

And
Berkshire Hathaway

BRK.B

And
United Health Group

United nations

and JPMorgan Chase

JPM

– plus components 11 through 50 in the S&P 500 and Russell 2000

rut

.

Alphabet and Microsoft both reported after the close on Tuesday.

Related: For Microsoft, artificial intelligence is the future, but the present is cloudy

This AI group accounts for 53% of the S&P 500

SPX

Performance, 54% of the Nasdaq 100

QQQ

performance and 68% growth factor gain.

JPMorgan’s team, led by Dubravko Lacos-Pojas, does not view this development favorably.

Analysts say the gains in AI, along with rotations into safety, have led to the narrowest lead for stocks in a bull market since the 1990s. “The defensive rotation and narrowing of growth leadership typically indicates a slowing cycle/slump,” the analysts say.

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They say stocks 11 to 50 in the S&P 500 have more valuation support, and trade significantly cheaper than the top 10 majors. They see additional room for rotation in defenses such as health care, utilities and consumer goods.