Asia markets were mixed as investors beat China’s modest growth target

Citi’s chief China economist Xiangrong Yu and his team said in a note Monday that growth targets for China announced over the weekend “were not a surprise, but may disappoint some investors.”

“We believe that Beijing may set this modest target due to concerns that the growth target will not be met for another year,” the economists wrote, noting that the economy did not achieve its 2022 target “about 5.5%” last year.

“The government may be concerned about moral damage if something else goes wrong,” the economists wrote, adding that budget details suggest room for a larger supply of government bonds, higher interest rates and a narrower trade balance.

– Jihe Lee

UBS raised its forecast for growth in China in 2023 from 4.9% to 5.4%, the company said in a report Monday.

“The economic reopening is going better than we had anticipated earlier – the dreaded ‘second wave’ of Covid has not materialized and there have been few signs of supply disruptions,” she added, adding that the global economy was more resilient than before. and expect.

UBS also raised its 2024 growth forecast for the country to 5.2% from a previous estimate of 4.8%, while lowering its 2023 inflation forecast from 3% to 2.5%.

– Jihe Lee

Hong Kong TVB shares rose for the fourth consecutive session after that declaring To partner with the famous Alibaba marketplace Taobao to launch joint e-commerce broadcast last week.

Its Hong Kong-listed shares traded up 21% Monday after closing Friday’s session up 51.6%, recording a year-to-date gain of 90.79%.

The first live e-commerce broadcast on TVB will start on Tuesday, the statement said.

The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to raise the overnight cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.6%, according to economists polled by Reuters.

This would be the highest rate since June 2012, when Australia’s cash rate was 3.75%.

Matt Simpson, chief market analyst at City Index, noted that the tone of the central bank’s statement could determine how far the RBA may raise rates to tame inflation.

“Any adjustments to the wording of that sentence could be the difference between one or two more increases from here,” Simpson said, referring to the RBA’s statement on the need for more rate increases “over the coming months.”

“Any further increase in the coming months will suggest one additional hike, which will be followed by a final interest rate of 3.85%,” he said.

– Jihe Lee

South Korea’s consumer price index rose 4.8% year-on-year in February, slower than 5.2% in January, according to Statistics Korea.

Compared to last month, prices increased by 0.3% along with a decline in food prices while utilities increased by 28.4%.

This indicates inflation levels in the economy are below 5% for the first time in ten months, Refinitiv data showed.

The Korean won fell 0.23% to 1,298.72 against the US dollar after the inflation report.

A survey conducted by the Federation of Japanese Trade Unions showed that the country’s trade unions requested an average wage increase of 4.49% for 2023, it said Friday. launch.

In its release, the organization said this represented an average above 4% for the first time since 1998, and a sharp increase from 2.97% in 2022.

– Jihe Lee

Stock markets have been broadly in the green this year, but there is unease about the rally, with many risk factors still weighing on the market.

How should investors trade the market? Wall Street professionals weigh in on their thoughts.

Professional subscribers can read more here.

– Xavier Ong

Stocks closed higher on Friday, pushing the major averages into a winning week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 387.40 points, or 1.17%, to 33,390.97 points. The S&P 500 rose 1.61% to 4,045.64, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.97%, closing at 11,689.01.

For the week, the Dow closed up 1.75%. The S&P rose 1.9% and the Nasdaq jumped 2.58%.

– Tanaya McHale

David Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist at Rosenberg Research, believes the stock market will see a sustained rally when the job market begins to contract in three to four months.

“Right now you have a situation where the stock markets and the credit markets seem to think they have more time to buy before the prosperity really comes down on the economy,” Rosenberg said on CNBC’s “Fast Money” Thursday.

He added, “There is no question that the economy is not strong, but it should weaken rapidly. Unemployment should start to decline… I think that is where you will find the trade risks.”

The employment picture started in 2023 on a surprisingly strong note, with non-farm payrolls posting their biggest gains since July 2022. The Federal Reserve can reverse its tightening policy when the jobs market shows weakness.

– Yun Lee

A report stated that relations between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are becoming increasingly tense By The Wall Street Journal. The report quoted Emirati officials as saying that the UAE was discussing whether it should leave OPEC.

News of the possible rupture of the oil cartel sent chills to Brent Crude prices. At one point in Friday’s trading, prices fell about 3% before recovering. Recently, the global benchmark fell 0.85% to $84.03.

The two oil-producing countries have been vying for influence and disagreeing over the direction of the Yemen war, according to the report.

—Christina Scheder Burke